465
FNUS75 KMSO 121733
FWSMSO
SPOT FORECAST FOR BELL FACE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1133 AM MDT TUE MAY 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...
DISCUSSION
THE WINDS AND SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO START
PICKING UP AFTER 1100 MDT WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS AND BEST POTENTIAL FOR STORMS BEING BETWEEN 1300-1800 MDT.
STRONGER STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND STORMS WILL CREATE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE ACTUAL PASSAGE OF THE COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 1800-2100 MDT. THE STORMS ARE
ANTICIPATED TO DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING AFTER THE PASSAGE OF
THE COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS BUT
WILL BE AT SEASONAL AVERAGES ON THURSDAY ALONG WITH LOW AFTERNOON
HUMIDITY READINGS AND ELEVATED WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....UP TO 10 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
* MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHEAST 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 40 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 25-35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 50 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 13500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 35 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN
THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...20 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
* MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST 25-31 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50
MPH DECREASING TO 10-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
THURSDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
* MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST 10-18 MPH INCREASING TO
WEST 20-25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 25 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN CLARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613051.1/MSO
.DELDT 05/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JCLARK@BLM.GOV
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