867  
FNUS75 KMSO 062208  
FWSMSO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUTTERFLY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT  
408 PM MDT THU AUG 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 MDT ON AUGUST 07.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH  
SATURDAY EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
WARM, DRY AND WINDY WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER  
CONDITIONS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE PROBABILITIES ARE  
HIGHER FOR GUSTS EXCEEDING 25 MPH ON FRIDAY (36%) THAN SATURDAY  
(5%). ALSO THE PROBABILITY FOR WIND SPEEDS EXCEEDING 10 MPH ARE  
HIGHER FRIDAY (40%) THAN SATURDAY (30%). WE HAVE HIGH CONFIDENCE  
THAT MINIMUM RHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TEENS (80%). NO  
PRECIPITATION IS IN SIGHT AT LEAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY, SMOKE.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-85.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........11-14 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 17 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR, PATCHY SMOKE.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-60.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. HAZE.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-83.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........11-14 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 2-4 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO 19 MPH BY 1500, THEN WEST 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO 22 MPH BY 1700.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
 

 
FORECASTER...NOBLE  
REQUESTED BY...SAM COX  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2618902.3/MSO  
.DELDT 08/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SAMUEL.COX@USDA.GOV,CLINT.MENDENHALL@USDA.GOV  
 
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