258
FNUS75 KMSO 070400
FWSMSO
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUTTERFLY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1000 PM MDT THU AUG 6 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 MDT ON AUGUST 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 9 PM MDT
SATURDAY...
DISCUSSION
UPDATED FROM PREVIOUS SPOT WEATHER FORECAST TO
INCLUDE THE RED FLAG WARNING.
WARM, DRY AND WINDY WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE PROBABILITIES ARE HIGHER FOR
GUSTS EXCEEDING 25 MPH ON FRIDAY (36%) THAN SATURDAY (5%). ALSO
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIND SPEEDS EXCEEDING 10 MPH ARE HIGHER FRIDAY
(40%) THAN SATURDAY (30%). WE HAVE HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT MINIMUM
RHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TEENS (80%). NO PRECIPITATION IS IN SIGHT
AT LEAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
FRIDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY, SMOKE.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-85.
* MIN HUMIDITY........11-14 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 17 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
FRIDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR, PATCHY SMOKE.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-60.
* MAX HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. HAZE.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-83.
* MIN HUMIDITY........11-14 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 2-4 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 19 MPH BY 1500, THEN WEST 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 22 MPH BY 1700.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
FORECASTER...NOBLE
REQUESTED BY...SAM COX
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2618902.3/MSO
.DELDT 08/06/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CLINT.MENDENHALL@USDA.GOV,SAMUEL.COX@USDA.GOV
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