803
FNUS75 KMSO 211128
FWSMSO
SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
528 AM MDT FRI AUG 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HOT AND DRY TODAY, SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY, WITH
VARIABLE/NORTHEAST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
OVERNIGHT HIGH-BASED SHOWER OR ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE WHICH
COULD PRODUCE ERRATIC OUTFLOW GUST AS HIGH AS 30 MPH. SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW FOR SATURDAY.
A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS MEANS THAT A DIRECT IMPACT COULD
PRODUCE STRENGTH WIND GUSTS FROM THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW AND A LOW
CHANCE FOR LOCALIZED WETTING RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-98.
* MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-4 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
NORTHEAST 2-6 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR 500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING WINDS........VARIABLE, WEST IN THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON BECOMING EAST 5 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF HIGH-BASED
RAIN SHOWER OR ISOLATED LIGHTNING OVERNIGHT.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
* MAX HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE/EAST 1-5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00-0.01 INCHES.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....30 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94.
* MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE/EAST 1-4 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00-0.12 INCHES.
FORECASTER...PARKER
REQUESTED BY...SARAH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620122.2/MSO
.DELDT 08/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL AAKING@MT.GOV,MTKIC@FIRENET.GOV
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