449  
FNUS75 KMSO 212238  
FWSMSO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MOOSE FIRE PM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT  
438 PM MDT FRI AUG 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON AUGUST 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH  
SUNDAY EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE MORNING,  
WITH A 20 PERCENT PROBABILITY FOR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS BETWEEN  
0300-0700. THESE SHOWERS WILL BE MORE LIKE SPRINKLES, NOT WETTING  
RAINS. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS IN THE MORNING WILL BECOME WESTERLY  
5-9 MPH, WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 15-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DURING  
THE AFTERNOON, THERE WILL BE A 30 PERCENT PROBABILITY FOR MOSTLY  
DRY THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 1400 AND 2000. CHANCES FOR WETTING  
RAINS ARE VERY LOW, UNLESS THE CORE OF THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE  
DIRECTLY OVERHEAD. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AROUND 30 MPH ARE  
POSSIBLE WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS. THERE IS A 10 PERCENT PROBABILITY  
FOR NOCTURNAL THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL  
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY, WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE  
MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON 1000-1300, WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 30 AND 35  
MPH FROM 1100 TO SUNSET. THERE IS A 10 TO 15 PERCENT PROBABILITY  
FOR GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH BETWEEN 1200-1500.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE  
MORNING, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...20 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....30 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5-7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5-6  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.04 INCHES.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...40 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....25 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5-9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.15 INCHES.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....20 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5-9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9-12  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30-35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 25 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
 

 
FORECASTER...ROBINSON  
REQUESTED BY...DONAVAN ALBERT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2619413.11/MSO  
.DELDT 08/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL 2026.MOOSE.PLANS@FIRENET.GOV,DONAVAN_ALBERT@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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