363
FNUS75 KMSO 212349
FWSMSO
SPOT FORECAST FOR SKILLET FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
549 PM MDT FRI AUG 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 MDT ON AUGUST 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...
DISCUSSION
MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL BE PRESENT IN THE
MORNING, ALONG WITH LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS BETWEEN 0700-1000. THESE
SHOWERS WILL BE MORE LIKE SPRINKLES, NO WETTING RAINS EXPECTED.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS IN THE MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST 5-7
MPH, WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DURING THE
AFTERNOON, THERE WILL ALSO BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR MOSTLY DRY
THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 1500 AND 2000. THE ACTIVITY WILL BE
SCATTERED, WITH A 20 PERCENT PROBABILITY LIGHTNING WILL OCCUR OVER
THE FIRE. A SECOND ROUND WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE EVENING, AROUND
MIDNIGHT AND LASTING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. CHANCES FOR
WETTING RAINS REMAIN VERY LOW, AT AROUND 10 PERCENT. SUNDAY, A DRY
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA MID-TO-LATE MORNING, THAT
WILL BRING A DIR AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT, ALONG WITH GUSTY
WESTERLY WINDS AROUND 25-30 MPH FROM 1200 TO 2000.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
* MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........EAST 5-6 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........EAST 10 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....20 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
* MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-6 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS 10-15 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
SATURDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN OVERNIGHT.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...10 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....20 PERCENT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
* MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.03 INCHES.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
* MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
FORECASTER...ROBINSON
REQUESTED BY...KATELYN MILLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620011.1/MSO
.DELDT 08/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KATELYN_MILLER@FIRENET.GOV
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