529  
FNUS75 KMSO 031918  
FWSMSO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SKILLET FIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT  
118 PM MDT THU SEP 3 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2200 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 04.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
   
209  
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITY VALUES WERE  
OBSERVED TODAY COMPARED TO THE LAST HANDFUL OF DAYS. WINDS WERE  
GENERALLY FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST, WITH GUSTS NEAR 10-15 MPH.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS BROUGHT LIGHT PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE FIRE.  
 
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BRING WAVES OF SHOWERS AND CLOUD COVER  
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. SHOWERS WILL BE GENERALLY HIT OR MISS, WITH  
CHANCES FOR WETTING RAINS INCREASING FROM 30% ON FRIDAY TO 50% ON  
SATURDAY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST ON  
FRIDAY, SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST ON SATURDAY. OPPORTUNITIES FOR  
RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE ACTIVE PATTERN  
CONTINUES.  
 
   
FRIDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...30 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....UP TO 10 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING  
WEST-SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS OF 10-15  
MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.01-0.10 INCHES.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OVERNIGHT.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...10 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00-0.04 INCHES.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING,  
THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...50 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....20 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 4-7 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING WINDS........EAST 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.02-0.20 INCHES.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN  
OVERNIGHT.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...50 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....15 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.02-0.25 INCHES.  
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
LABOR DAY  
 
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 43-48. HIGHS 54-59.  
WEST-SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH. GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
 
RAIN LIKELY. LOWS 41-46. HIGHS 56-61. WEST-SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH.  
GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 39-44. HIGHS 63-68. WEST-SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH.  
GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...LUKINBEAL  
REQUESTED BY...BRITTNEY ALLESTAD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2620615.9/MSO  
.DELDT 09/03/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRITTNEY_ALLESTAD@FIRENET.GOV,LEXIS.LYLE@USDA.GOV,2026.SKILLET.PLANS@FIRENET.GOV  
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