720  
FNUS75 KMSO 041958  
FWSMSO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SKILLET FIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT  
158 PM MDT FRI SEP 4 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
209: LIGHT SHOWERS MOVED OVER THE FIRE AREA TODAY CAUSING RAINFALL  
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH. THE FIRE AREA HAD  
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S WITH MINIMUM HUMIDITY  
READINGS IN THE 60% RANGE. WINDS WERE GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
THROUGHOUT THE DAY.  
 
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE REGION OVER THE  
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER ON  
SATURDAY BUT STILL REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME YEAR. A FEW  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE FIRE  
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO  
INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS THE LOW  
PRESSURE SYSTEM BEGINS TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...30 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....15 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.10 INCHES.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN LIKELY  
OVERNIGHT.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...10 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....15 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL IN THE EVENING.  
* MIXING WINDS........EAST 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.03 INCHES.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...60 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....20 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING VARIABLE 2-4 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING WINDS........EAST 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.10 INCHES.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING,  
THEN CHANCE OF RAIN OVERNIGHT.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...50 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....UP TO 10 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.28 INCHES.  
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
LABOR DAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 55-60. WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH.   
TUESDAY  
 
RAIN LIKELY. LOWS 41-46. HIGHS 58-63. VARIABLE WINDS UP TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 40-45. HIGHS 66-71. DIURNAL TERRAIN WINDS TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 43-48. HIGHS 68-73. DIURNAL TERRAIN WINDS TO  
10 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...SMITH  
REQUESTED BY...BRITTNEY ALLESTAD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2620615.11/MSO  
.DELDT 09/04/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ALYSSA_WORSHAM@FIRENET.GOV,BRITTNEY_ALLESTAD@FIRENET.GOV,2026.SKILLET.PLANS@FIRENET.GOV,LEXIS.LYLE@USDA.GOV  
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