509  
FNUS75 KMSO 160949  
FWSMSO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE WEST 23  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT  
349 AM MDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 MDT ON OCTOBER 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY,  
PRODUCING WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS. A STABLE AIRMASS WILL KEEP  
VERTICAL MIXING POOR AS WELL AS MAINTAINING LIGHT WINDS. A DRY  
COLD FRONT IS STILL ON TRACK TO PASS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. BREEZY  
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AROUND 1200 MDT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE  
EARLY EVENING. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LOOK LIKELY, WITH A 20 PERCENT  
CHANCE FOR GUSTS TO EXCEED 30 MPH.  
   
TODAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 4-8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST  
AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
 
 
FORECASTER...JENNK  
REQUESTED BY...ROLLIE BRITTON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2623731.2/MSO  
.DELDT 10/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AARON.MCCOWN@USDA.GOV,ANDREW.MARTINEZ@USDA.GOV,GEOFFREY.MCEVERS@USDA.GOV,ROLLIE.BRITTON@USDA.GOV  
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