032  
FGUS53 KMSR 110139  
RVFMEC  
 
RIVER FORECAST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER; CHANHASSEN MN  
839 PM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026  
 
: THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTH CENTRAL RIVER  
: FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS  
: WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.  
:  
: FORECAST GROUP IS MEC  
:  
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOURS OF FUTURE PRECIPITATION (QPF) IN 6 HOUR INCREMENTS  
:  
:************************************************************  
:MERAMEC RIVER, SEEM7  
:STEELVILLE 2N, MO - LSX  
:  
:ACTION STAGE 10.0 FTMINOR STAGE 12.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 20.0 FTMAJOR STAGE 25.0 FT  
:  
:THE RIVER STAGE WAS 15.5 FT AT 0115 Z ON JUL 11  
.AR :CREST: SEEM7 0711 Z DC202607110139/DH1200/HGIFFXZ 18.6  
:CREST NEAR 18.6 FT AROUND 12 Z ON SAT, JUL 11  
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21 Z ON 07/12/2026  
.ER SEEM7 0711 Z DC202607110139/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 0710 : / 17.6  
.E2 : 0711 : / 18.6 / 18.1 / 17.4 / 16.6  
.E3 : 0712 : / 14.9 / 13.3 / 11.5 / 10.0  
.E4 : 0713 : / 8.6 / 7.5 / 6.6 / 5.9  
.E5 : 0714 : / 5.2 / 4.7 / 4.3 / 4.0  
.E6 : 0715 : / 3.7 / 3.5 / 3.3 / 3.1  
.E7 : 0716 : / 3.0 / 2.9 / 2.7 / 2.7  
.E8 : 0717 : / 2.6 / 2.5 / 2.4 / 2.4  
.E9 : 0718 : / 2.3 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2  
.E10 : 0719 : / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1  
.E11 : 0720 : / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.0 / 2.0  
.E12 : 0721 : / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0  
.E13 : 0722 : / 2.0 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9  
.E14 : 0723 : / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9  
.E15 : 0724 : / 1.9 / 1.8 / 1.8  
:  
: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE  
: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM  
: WATERSHEDS***  
:  
:QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
: 0710 / 0.30  
: 0711 / 0.53 / 0.16 / 0.16  
:  
: 24-HR QPF TOTAL ENDING ON JUL 12 IS 1.15 INCHES  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:  
:************************************************************  
:MERAMEC RIVER, SLLM7  
:SULLIVAN 4SE, MO - LSX  
:  
:ACTION STAGE 9.0 FTMINOR STAGE 11.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 20.0 FTMAJOR STAGE 29.0 FT  
:  
:THE RIVER STAGE WAS 16.1 FT AT 0029 Z ON JUL 11  
.AR :CREST: SLLM7 0711 Z DC202607110139/DH1800/HGIFFXZ 24.2  
:CREST NEAR 24.2 FT AROUND 18 Z ON SAT, JUL 11  
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21 Z ON 07/13/2026  
.ER SLLM7 0711 Z DC202607110139/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 0710 : / 20.2  
.E2 : 0711 : / 23.1 / 24.2 / 22.8 / 21.5  
.E3 : 0712 : / 20.3 / 19.0 / 17.2 / 15.3  
.E4 : 0713 : / 13.4 / 11.8 / 10.7 / 9.7  
.E5 : 0714 : / 9.0 / 8.3 / 7.8 / 7.4  
.E6 : 0715 : / 7.1 / 6.9 / 6.6 / 6.3  
.E7 : 0716 : / 6.1 / 5.9 / 5.7 / 5.6  
.E8 : 0717 : / 5.4 / 5.3 / 5.2 / 5.1  
.E9 : 0718 : / 5.0 / 4.9 / 4.7 / 4.7  
.E10 : 0719 : / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.6  
.E11 : 0720 : / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.4 / 4.4  
.E12 : 0721 : / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.2  
.E13 : 0722 : / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.1 / 4.1  
.E14 : 0723 : / 4.1 / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0  
.E15 : 0724 : / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9  
:  
: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE  
: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM  
: WATERSHEDS***  
:  
:QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
: 0710 / 0.47  
: 0711 / 0.42 / 0.15 / 0.43  
:  
: 24-HR QPF TOTAL ENDING ON JUL 12 IS 1.47 INCHES  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:  
:************************************************************  
:BOURBEUSE RIVER, UNNM7  
:UNION, MO - LSX  
:  
:ACTION STAGE 13.0 FTMINOR STAGE 15.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 22.0 FTMAJOR STAGE 26.0 FT  
:  
:THE RIVER STAGE WAS 3.4 FT AT 0100 Z ON JUL 11  
.AR :CREST: UNNM7 0713 Z DC202607110139/DH1200/HGIFFXZ 14.5  
:CREST NEAR 14.5 FT AROUND 12 Z ON MON, JUL 13  
.ER UNNM7 0711 Z DC202607110139/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 0710 : / 3.4  
.E2 : 0711 : / 3.5 / 3.7 / 3.9 / 4.3  
.E3 : 0712 : / 5.5 / 7.7 / 10.8 / 13.3  
.E4 : 0713 : / 14.5 / 14.5 / 13.9 / 12.8  
.E5 : 0714 : / 11.2 / 9.4 / 7.9 / 6.6  
.E6 : 0715 : / 5.8 / 5.2 / 4.8 / 4.5  
.E7 : 0716 : / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.1 / 4.0  
.E8 : 0717 : / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.8 / 3.8  
.E9 : 0718 : / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7  
.E10 : 0719 : / 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6  
.E11 : 0720 : / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6  
.E12 : 0721 : / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5  
.E13 : 0722 : / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5  
.E14 : 0723 : / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.4  
.E15 : 0724 : / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4  
:  
: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE  
: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM  
: WATERSHEDS***  
:  
:QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
: 0710 / 0.56  
: 0711 / 0.23 / 0.09 / 0.37  
:  
: 24-HR QPF TOTAL ENDING ON JUL 12 IS 1.25 INCHES  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:  
:************************************************************  
:MERAMEC RIVER, PCFM7  
:PACIFIC, MO - LSX  
:  
:ACTION STAGE 13.0 FTMINOR STAGE 15.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 23.0 FTMAJOR STAGE 27.0 FT  
:  
:THE RIVER STAGE WAS -1.0 FT AT 0100 Z ON JUL 11  
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21 Z ON 07/12/2026  
.AR :CREST: PCFM7 0714 Z DC202607110139/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 19.9  
:CREST NEAR 19.9 FT AROUND 00 Z ON TUE, JUL 14  
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 03 Z ON 07/15/2026  
.ER PCFM7 0711 Z DC202607110139/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 0710 : / -1.0  
.E2 : 0711 : / 0.8 / 2.7 / 5.3 / 8.5  
.E3 : 0712 : / 11.6 / 13.8 / 15.9 / 17.5  
.E4 : 0713 : / 18.7 / 19.4 / 19.9 / 19.8  
.E5 : 0714 : / 19.0 / 17.6 / 15.9 / 14.1  
.E6 : 0715 : / 12.2 / 10.0 / 7.9 / 6.2  
.E7 : 0716 : / 5.0 / 4.3 / 3.7 / 3.3  
.E8 : 0717 : / 3.0 / 2.7 / 2.4 / 2.2  
.E9 : 0718 : / 2.0 / 1.8 / 1.6 / 1.5  
.E10 : 0719 : / 1.3 / 1.2 / 1.1 / 1.0  
.E11 : 0720 : / 0.9 / 0.8 / 0.7 / 0.6  
.E12 : 0721 : / 0.6 / 0.6 / 0.5 / 0.5  
.E13 : 0722 : / 0.4 / 0.4 / 0.4 / 0.3  
.E14 : 0723 : / 0.3 / 0.2 / 0.2 / 0.2  
.E15 : 0724 : / 0.1 / 0.1 / 0.1  
:  
: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE  
: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM  
: WATERSHEDS***  
:  
:QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
: 0710 / 0.54  
: 0711 / 0.29 / 0.10 / 0.44  
:  
: 24-HR QPF TOTAL ENDING ON JUL 12 IS 1.37 INCHES  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:  
:************************************************************  
:MERAMEC RIVER, ERKM7  
:EUREKA 2E, MO - LSX  
:  
:ACTION STAGE 17.0 FTMINOR STAGE 19.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 26.0 FTMAJOR STAGE 31.0 FT  
:  
:THE ESTIMATED RIVER STAGE WAS 3.2 FT AT 0000 Z ON JUL 11  
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 15 Z ON 07/13/2026  
.AR :CREST: ERKM7 0714 Z DC202607110139/DH1800/HGIFFXZ 22.2  
:CREST NEAR 22.2 FT AROUND 18 Z ON TUE, JUL 14  
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 09 Z ON 07/15/2026  
.ER ERKM7 0711 Z DC202607110139/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 0710 : / 3.5  
.E2 : 0711 : / 4.2 / 5.6 / 7.4 / 9.2  
.E3 : 0712 : / 11.5 / 14.1 / 16.3 / 17.7  
.E4 : 0713 : / 18.9 / 19.9 / 20.7 / 21.5  
.E5 : 0714 : / 22.0 / 22.2 / 21.8 / 20.5  
.E6 : 0715 : / 18.4 / 16.1 / 13.8 / 11.6  
.E7 : 0716 : / 9.7 / 8.5 / 7.7 / 7.2  
.E8 : 0717 : / 6.8 / 6.4 / 6.1 / 5.9  
.E9 : 0718 : / 5.7 / 5.5 / 5.4 / 5.2  
.E10 : 0719 : / 5.1 / 5.0 / 4.9 / 4.8  
.E11 : 0720 : / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.6 / 4.5  
.E12 : 0721 : / 4.5 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4  
.E13 : 0722 : / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.2  
.E14 : 0723 : / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.1 / 4.1  
.E15 : 0724 : / 4.1 / 4.0 / 4.0  
:  
: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE  
: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM  
: WATERSHEDS***  
:  
:QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
: 0710 / 0.84  
: 0711 / 0.41 / 0.21 / 0.90  
:  
: 24-HR QPF TOTAL ENDING ON JUL 12 IS 2.36 INCHES  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:  
:************************************************************  
:MERAMEC RIVER, VLLM7  
:VALLEY PARK, MO - LSX  
:  
:ACTION STAGE 11.0 FTMINOR STAGE 18.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 21.0 FTMAJOR STAGE 27.0 FT  
:  
:THE ESTIMATED RIVER STAGE WAS -2.0 FT AT 0000 Z ON JUL 11  
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 03 Z ON 07/14/2026  
.AR :CREST: VLLM7 0715 Z DC202607110139/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 19.6  
:CREST NEAR 19.6 FT AROUND 00 Z ON WED, JUL 15  
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 12 Z ON 07/15/2026  
.ER VLLM7 0711 Z DC202607110139/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 0710 : / -1.8  
.E2 : 0711 : / -0.9 / 0.7 / 2.8 / 4.8  
.E3 : 0712 : / 7.1 / 9.5 / 12.1 / 14.2  
.E4 : 0713 : / 15.7 / 16.8 / 17.7 / 18.5  
.E5 : 0714 : / 19.1 / 19.5 / 19.6 / 19.1  
.E6 : 0715 : / 18.0 / 16.3 / 14.2 / 11.7  
.E7 : 0716 : / 9.4 / 7.3 / 5.6 / 4.4  
.E8 : 0717 : / 3.6 / 3.0 / 2.5 / 2.2  
.E9 : 0718 : / 1.8 / 1.5 / 1.3 / 1.1  
.E10 : 0719 : / 0.8 / 0.7 / 0.5 / 0.4  
.E11 : 0720 : / 0.2 / 0.1 / 0.0 / -0.2  
.E12 : 0721 : / -0.2 / -0.3 / -0.4 / -0.4  
.E13 : 0722 : / -0.5 / -0.6 / -0.6 / -0.7  
.E14 : 0723 : / -0.7 / -0.8 / -0.9 / -0.9  
.E15 : 0724 : / -1.0 / -1.0 / -1.1  
:  
: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE  
: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM  
: WATERSHEDS***  
:  
:QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
: 0710 / 0.80  
: 0711 / 0.48 / 0.29 / 0.52  
:  
: 24-HR QPF TOTAL ENDING ON JUL 12 IS 2.09 INCHES  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:  
:************************************************************  
:MERAMEC RIVER, FNNM7  
:FENTON 1E - NEW GRAVOIS RD, MO - LSX  
:  
:ACTION STAGE 22.0 FTMINOR STAGE 23.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 29.0 FTMAJOR STAGE 32.0 FT  
:  
:THE ESTIMATED RIVER STAGE WAS 4.5 FT AT 0000 Z ON JUL 11  
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21 Z ON 07/14/2026  
.AR :CREST: FNNM7 0715 Z DC202607110139/DH0600/HGIFFXZ 23.2  
:CREST NEAR 23.2 FT AROUND 06 Z ON WED, JUL 15  
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 09 Z ON 07/15/2026  
.ER FNNM7 0711 Z DC202607110139/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 0710 : / 4.7  
.E2 : 0711 : / 4.8 / 4.9 / 5.5 / 6.9  
.E3 : 0712 : / 9.0 / 11.2 / 13.6 / 16.2  
.E4 : 0713 : / 18.3 / 19.9 / 20.9 / 21.8  
.E5 : 0714 : / 22.4 / 22.9 / 23.1 / 23.2  
.E6 : 0715 : / 22.9 / 22.1 / 20.4 / 18.3  
.E7 : 0716 : / 15.9 / 13.5 / 11.5 / 9.7  
.E8 : 0717 : / 8.5 / 7.7 / 7.2 / 6.7  
.E9 : 0718 : / 6.3 / 6.0 / 5.7 / 5.4  
.E10 : 0719 : / 5.2 / 5.0 / 4.8 / 4.7  
.E11 : 0720 : / 4.5 / 4.4 / 4.2 / 4.1  
.E12 : 0721 : / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.8 / 3.8  
.E13 : 0722 : / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.5  
.E14 : 0723 : / 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.3  
.E15 : 0724 : / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.1  
:  
: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE  
: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM  
: WATERSHEDS***  
:  
:QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
: 0710 / 0.67  
: 0711 / 0.52 / 0.30 / 0.78  
:  
: 24-HR QPF TOTAL ENDING ON JUL 12 IS 2.27 INCHES  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:  
:************************************************************  
:MERAMEC RIVER, ARNM7  
:ARNOLD 1N, MO - LSX  
:  
:ACTION STAGE 22.0 FTMINOR STAGE 24.0 FT  
:MODERATE STAGE 35.0 FTMAJOR STAGE 38.0 FT  
:  
:THE ESTIMATED RIVER STAGE WAS 14.4 FT AT 0000 Z ON JUL 11  
.AR :CREST: ARNM7 0715 Z DC202607110139/DH0600/HGIFFXZ 23.2  
:CREST NEAR 23.2 FT AROUND 06 Z ON WED, JUL 15  
.ER ARNM7 0711 Z DC202607110139/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6  
:RIVER FORECAST / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
.E1 : 0710 : / 14.5  
.E2 : 0711 : / 14.6 / 14.7 / 14.7 / 14.9  
.E3 : 0712 : / 15.1 / 15.5 / 16.1 / 16.7  
.E4 : 0713 : / 17.7 / 18.8 / 19.9 / 20.9  
.E5 : 0714 : / 21.7 / 22.4 / 22.8 / 23.2  
.E6 : 0715 : / 23.2 / 22.7 / 21.6 / 19.8  
.E7 : 0716 : / 18.0 / 16.1 / 14.7 / 13.4  
.E8 : 0717 : / 12.9 / 12.6 / 12.4 / 12.2  
.E9 : 0718 : / 12.0 / 11.8 / 11.6 / 11.5  
.E10 : 0719 : / 11.3 / 11.1 / 11.0 / 10.8  
.E11 : 0720 : / 10.7 / 10.4 / 10.2 / 10.0  
.E12 : 0721 : / 9.7 / 9.5 / 9.2 / 9.0  
.E13 : 0722 : / 8.8 / 8.6 / 8.4 / 8.3  
.E14 : 0723 : / 8.3 / 8.2 / 8.2 / 8.2  
.E15 : 0724 : / 8.2 / 8.2 / 8.1  
:  
: ***THE TABLE BELOW IS THE QPF FOR THE LOCAL DRAINAGE  
: AREA AND DOES NOT REPRESENT THE QPF FOR ANY UPSTREAM  
: WATERSHEDS***  
:  
:QPF (IN) / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z  
: 0710 / 0.67  
: 0711 / 0.52 / 0.30 / 0.78  
:  
: 24-HR QPF TOTAL ENDING ON JUL 12 IS 2.27 INCHES  
:  
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...  
:  
:  
:  
:*******************************************************************  
:  
 
:  
FCSTR EXT: 2537  
:  
:...END OF MESSAGE...  
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