931
FXUS66 KMTR 102008
AFDMTR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
108 PM PDT TUE MAR 10 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 106 PM PDT TUE MAR 10 2026
- EXTENDED PERIOD OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES SETS IN TOMORROW
- WIDESPREAD MINOR HEATRISK TOMORROW THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH
INCREASING AREAS OF MODERATE HEATRISK SUNDAY INTO THE BEGINNING
OF NEXT WEEK
SHORT TERM
ISSUED AT 106 PM PDT TUE MAR 10 2026
(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ONE MORE PLEASANT DAY EXPECTED BEFORE THE WARM-UP BEGINS!
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK IN THE 60S NEAR THE COAST AND
LOWER 70S ACROSS THE INTERIOR UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. TONIGHT,
EXPECTING LESS IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER WITH LOW TEMPERATURES
WEDNESDAY MORNING COOLING INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S IN THE
NORTH BAY AND COLDER LOCATIONS ACROSS THE INTERIOR CENTRAL COAST.
OTHERWISE, LOW 40S TO UPPER 40S ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.
TOMORROW WILL BE THE BEGINNING OF A WARMING TREND AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH 5-15
DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKY CONDITIONS.
LONG TERM
ISSUED AT 106 PM PDT TUE MAR 10 2026
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
THE RIDGE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK,
TEMPERATURES IN THE WARMEST INTERIOR SPOTS HAVE A 50%-90%
PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING 90 DEGREES F. THIS IS WHEN 850MB
TEMPERATURES APPROACH 20 DEGREES C. THESE TEMPERATURES WOULD BE
15- 25 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES IF THEY WERE TO
MATERIALIZE. ON SUNDAY, MONDAY, AND TUESDAY WE HAVE MODERATE
HEATRISK ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND EVEN SOME COASTAL SPOTS SUCH AS
THE SANTA CRUZ REGION. THESE DAYS, MONTHLY RECORDS FOR THE MONTH
OF MARCH HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE MET OR BROKEN. THIS IS ALSO WHEN
THE CPC'S 6-10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK SHOWS GREATER THAN 90%
PROBABILITY OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE ENTIRE BAY
AREA AND CENTRAL COAST. HOWEVER, WE ARE NOT ANTICIPATING ANY
STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS WITH THIS EVENT AS THE CENTER OF THE HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS RIGHT OVERHEAD. IT GOES WITHOUT SAY THAT RAIN IS
NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1150 AM PDT TUE MAR 10 2026
VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. MOSTLY MODERATE WINDS BUILD IN THE MID
AFTERNOON WITH BREEZY TO GUSTY WINDS AT HAF, SFO, AND OAK. WINDS
REDUCE INTO THE NIGHT, BECOMING LIGHT ACROSS THE REGION. MODERATE
WINDS RETURN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
VICINITY OF SFO...VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. MODERATE WEST WINDS
BECOME BREEZY TO GUSTY IN THE MID AFTERNOON WITH PEAK GUSTS AROUND
24 KTS. THESE WINDS LINGER INTO THE NIGHT BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT.
WINDS BUILD AGAIN INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, BUT WITH LESS GUSTS.
SFO BRIDGE APPROACH...SIMILAR TO SFO.
MONTEREY BAY TERMINALS...VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. MODERATE WEST
TO NORTHWEST WINDS LAST INTO THE NIGHT BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT.
MARINE
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 853 AM PDT TUE MAR 10 2026
NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE WINDS AFFECT THE WATERS THROUGH THE DAY
AND INTO THE NIGHT. AS A RESULT, VERY ROUGH SEAS WILL BUILD IN THE
OUTER WATERS. WINDS REDUCE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY, BUT ROUGH SEAS
AND FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY BREEZES WILL KEEP HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS AROUND THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE.
PZ...GALE WARNING UNTIL 3 AM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR PIGEON PT TO PT PINOS
10-60 NM-PT ARENA TO PT REYES 0-10 NM-PT ARENA TO PT REYES
10-60 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR PIGEON PT TO
PT PINOS 0-10 NM-PT PINOS TO PT PIEDRAS BLANCAS 0-10 NM-PT
REYES TO PIGEON PT 0-10 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM PDT THURSDAY
FOR PT PINOS TO PT PIEDRAS BLANCAS 0-10 NM.
SHORT TERM...RGASS
LONG TERM....RGASS
AVIATION...MURDOCK
MARINE...MURDOCK
VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO
FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK, X, AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBAYAREA
X.COM/NWSBAYAREA
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSBAYAREA
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page