714
FXUS66 KMTR 102307
AFDMTR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
407 PM PDT TUE MAR 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 106 PM PDT TUE MAR 10 2026
- EXTENDED PERIOD OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES SETS IN TOMORROW
- WIDESPREAD MINOR HEATRISK TOMORROW THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH
INCREASING AREAS OF MODERATE HEATRISK SUNDAY INTO THE BEGINNING
OF NEXT WEEK
SHORT TERM
ISSUED AT 106 PM PDT TUE MAR 10 2026
(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ONE MORE PLEASANT DAY EXPECTED BEFORE THE WARM-UP BEGINS!
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK IN THE 60S NEAR THE COAST AND
LOWER 70S ACROSS THE INTERIOR UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. TONIGHT,
EXPECTING LESS IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER WITH LOW TEMPERATURES
WEDNESDAY MORNING COOLING INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S IN THE
NORTH BAY AND COLDER LOCATIONS ACROSS THE INTERIOR CENTRAL COAST.
OTHERWISE, LOW 40S TO UPPER 40S ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.
TOMORROW WILL BE THE BEGINNING OF A WARMING TREND AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH 5-15
DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKY CONDITIONS.
LONG TERM
ISSUED AT 106 PM PDT TUE MAR 10 2026
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
THE RIDGE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK,
TEMPERATURES IN THE WARMEST INTERIOR SPOTS HAVE A 50%-90%
PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING 90 DEGREES F. THIS IS WHEN 850MB
TEMPERATURES APPROACH 20 DEGREES C. THESE TEMPERATURES WOULD BE
15- 25 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES IF THEY WERE TO
MATERIALIZE. ON SUNDAY, MONDAY, AND TUESDAY WE HAVE MODERATE
HEATRISK ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND EVEN SOME COASTAL SPOTS SUCH AS
THE SANTA CRUZ REGION. THESE DAYS, MONTHLY RECORDS FOR THE MONTH
OF MARCH HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE MET OR BROKEN. THIS IS ALSO WHEN
THE CPC'S 6-10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK SHOWS GREATER THAN 90%
PROBABILITY OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE ENTIRE BAY
AREA AND CENTRAL COAST. HOWEVER, WE ARE NOT ANTICIPATING ANY
STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS WITH THIS EVENT AS THE CENTER OF THE HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS RIGHT OVERHEAD. IT GOES WITHOUT SAY THAT RAIN IS
NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 407 PM PDT TUE MAR 10 2026
VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHWEST WINDS
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE AT
HAF, SFO, AND OAK. WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT, WITH
MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW RESUMING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
VICINITY OF SFO... VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH BREEZY WINDS
PERSISTING INTO THE LATE EVENING HOURS, GUSTING TO 25 KNOTS. WINDS
BECOME LIGHT OVERNIGHT BEFORE BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW RETURNS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.
SFO BRIDGE APPROACH... SIMILAR TO SFO.
MONTEREY BAY TERMINALS... VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. MODERATE
NORTHWEST WINDS PERSIST INTO THE EVENING, BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
AT MRY, GENTLE WINDS WILL VEER FROM THE NORTHEAST TO THE NORTHWEST
OVER THE COURSE OF WEDNESDAY MORNING, WHILE DURING THE SAME PERIOD,
BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP AT SNS.
MARINE
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 407 PM PDT TUE MAR 10 2026
WINDS CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE AREAS WITH NEAR GALE TO GALE
FORCE WINDS AFFECTING THE WATERS INTO THE LATE NIGHT. AS A
RESULT, VERY ROUGH SEAS WILL BUILD IN THE OUTER WATERS. WINDS
REDUCE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY, BUT ROUGH SEAS AND FRESH TO STRONG
NORTHERLY BREEZES WILL KEEP HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS AROUND THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. WINDS AND SEAS EASE INTO THE NEXT WORK WEEK
MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE.
PZ...GALE WARNING UNTIL 3 AM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR PIGEON PT TO PT PINOS
10-60 NM-PT ARENA TO PT REYES 0-10 NM-PT ARENA TO PT REYES
10-60 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR PIGEON PT TO
PT PINOS 0-10 NM-PT PINOS TO PT PIEDRAS BLANCAS 0-10 NM-PT
REYES TO PIGEON PT 0-10 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM PDT THURSDAY
FOR PT PINOS TO PT PIEDRAS BLANCAS 0-10 NM.
SHORT TERM...RGASS
LONG TERM....RGASS
AVIATION...DIALH
MARINE...MURDOCK
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