200
FXUS66 KMTR 270730
AFDMTR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1230 AM PDT SAT JUN 27 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, BEACHES
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1225 AM PDT SAT JUN 27 2026
- GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS TODAY WITH EAST-WEST MOUNTAIN PASSES AS
HIGH AS 50+ MPH. WINDS INCREASE FOR THE WATERS THIS WEEKEND,
WITH MARINE IMPACTS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
- AN UPPER TROUGH BRINGS COOLER TEMPERATURES, MOISTURE, AND A
DEEPER MARINE LAYER WITH AM DRIZZLE TODAY
- BEACH HAZARDS RETURN THIS MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FACING BEACHES ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST
SHORT TERM
ISSUED AT 1225 AM PDT SAT JUN 27 2026
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
WITH TROUGHING FIRMLY IN PLACE, BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TODAY WITH COASTAL DRIZZLE AND POCKETS OF LIGHT RAIN
THROUGH THE MORNING. AS THE HEIGHTS TIGHTEN WITH THE SOUTHWARD PUSH
OF THE TROUGH, WINDS WILL BE ELEVATED AGAIN TODAY WITH GUSTS 50+ MPH
THROUGH WEST-EAST PASSES AND MOUNTAIN PEAKS, 20-40 MPH WIND GUSTS
ELSEWHERE. WINDS WILL INCREASE NOT ONLY ACROSS INLAND AREAS, BUT
ALSO OVER THE WATERS. GUSTS UP TO 30-40 KT WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
SEAS OF 8 TO 10 FT. MARINE HAZARDS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING, PLEASE SEE THE MARINE DISCUSSION FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.
ALONG THE PACIFIC COASTAL BEACHES, THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR
MARGINAL COASTAL FLOODING. DUE TO THE UPCOMING FULL MOON (MONDAY),
THERMAL EXPANSION OF PACIFIC WATERS, AND SOUTHERLY SWELLS,
COASTAL FLOODING FOR LOW LYING BEACHES AT PREDOMINANTLY SOUTH
FACING BEACHES IS POSSIBLE AT HIGH TIDES THROUGH MONDAY. AN UPTICK
IN LONG PERIOD SOUTHERLY SWELL WILL RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS AND SNEAKER WAVES. NEVER TURN YOUR BACK TO THE OCEAN!
BEACH HAZARDS WILL BE IN EFFECT THIS WEEKEND AND INTO MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK, SEE THE BEACHES DISCUSSION FOR MORE INFORMATION.
LONG TERM
ISSUED AT 1225 AM PDT SAT JUN 27 2026
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
THE PATTERN BEGINS TO SHIFT SUNDAY AS THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW WEAKENS
AND STARTS TO MOVE UP INTO IDAHO AND MONTANA AND HEIGHTS SLOWLY
INCREASE. WITH THIS, THE MARINE LAYER WILL BEGIN TO COMPRESS A BIT
EACH DAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, AND TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM
BACK TOWARDS NORMAL. GENERAL TROUGHING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES SLOWLY WARMING INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK, BUT GENERALLY SHOULD REMAIN AT OR BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PERSISTS ESPECIALLY OVER THE
MARINE ENVIRONMENT LEADING TO A SERIES OF MARINE HAZARDS, PLEASE SEE
THE MARINE DISCUSSION FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.
THE CONCERN FOR HAZARDOUS BEACH CONDITIONS RETURN FOR PACIFIC COAST
BEACHES THIS WEEKEND AS LONG PERIOD SOUTHERLY SWELLS RETURN. MORE
INFORMATION BELOW IN BEACHES, BUT REMEMBER TO NEVER TURN YOUR BACK
TO THE OCEAN!
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 831 PM PDT FRI JUN 26 2026
LOW CLOUDS HOVER OVER THE AREA WITH MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS CONTINUING
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. POCKETS OF BR/DZ UNTIL 12-16Z
SAT, WHICH MAY REDUCE VISIBILITIES 4-6SM WITHIN 20 MILES OF THE
COAST. CIGS SCATTERING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH MID MORNING INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN ANY CIGS
RETURNING SATURDAY EVENING FOR THE REGION, HIGHEST CHANCE ALONG
THE IMMEDIATE COAST.
GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL EASE SLIGHTLY TONIGHT. WINDS INCREASING
AGAIN ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH,
WHERE TAF SITES WILL SEE GUSTS NEAR 25-35 KTS AT TIMES. WINDS EASE
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
VICINITY OF SFO...MVFR/IFR CIGS OVERNIGHT, BECOMING MVFR IN THE
MORNING. WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED BUT EASE THROUGH THE EVENING
WITH GUSTS NEAR 15-20 KNOTS. CLOUD COVER LIFTS AND SCATTERS INTO
THE MID MORNING AS GUSTY WEST WINDS RETURN. STRONG GUSTS BUILD
INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING; CONFIDENCE INCREASING WITH
AROUND A 60-70% CHANCE OF WIND GUSTS REACHING 35 KNOTS 22Z SAT -
05Z SUN. WINDS EASE SATURDAY NIGHT.
SFO BRIDGE APPROACH...SIMILAR TO SFO.
MONTEREY BAY TERMINALS...MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS CONDITIONS WITH AREAS
OF BR/DZ OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL LESSEN TONIGHT; ELEVATED WINDS
RETURNING BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH GUSTS NEAR 25
KNOTS AT TIMES. WINDS EASE SATURDAY NIGHT.
MARINE
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 831 PM PDT FRI JUN 26 2026
WINDS CONTINUE TO REDUCE THROUGH THE NIGHT, INCREASING SLIGHTLY
FROM THE BAY AREA NORTHWARD BY THE EARLY MORNING ON SATURDAY.
STRONGER WINDS BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THESE STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS
WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT ACROSS THE
WATERS AT TIMES WELL INTO THE WORK WEEK. EXPECT GALE FORCE GUSTS
TO DEVELOP IN THE NORTHERN OUTER WATERS AND ALONG COASTAL JET
REGIONS OVER THE WEEKEND AS WELL. LONG PERIOD SOUTHWEST SWELL WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE EXTENDED FORECAST.
BEACHES
ISSUED AT 1225 AM PDT SAT JUN 27 2026
A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE PACIFIC COAST
BEACHES FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING AS LONG
PERIOD SOUTHERLY SWELL RETURNS TO THE COAST, CREATING AN INCREASED
RISK OF SNEAKER WAVES AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS, ESPECIALLY FOR
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FACING BEACHES. HAZARDOUS BEACH CONDITIONS ARE
ADVERTISED, SPECIFICALLY FOR MODERATE TO STEEPLY SLOPED BEACHES
ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE NORTH BAY, SAN MATEO, SANTA CRUZ
COUNTIES. SNEAKER WAVES WILL RUN UP THE BEACH MUCH FARTHER THAN
OTHER WAVES, POTENTIALLY CATCHING BEACHGOERS BY SURPRISE AND
RESULTING IN PEOPLE BEING SWEPT INTO THE WATER. RIP CURRENTS ARE
STRONG ENOUGH TO PULL THE STRONGEST SWIMMERS AWAY FROM SHORE. SWIM
NEAR A LIFEGUARD IF POSSIBLE. STAY BACK FROM THE BEACH, AND AWAY
FROM JETTIES, PIERS, BEACHSIDE ROCKS, AND OTHER INFRASTRUCTURE
NEAR THE WATER. NEVER TURN YOUR BACK TO THE OCEAN!
MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FROM 5 AM PDT SATURDAY THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT FOR CAZ006-505-509-529-530.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR SF BAY N OF BAY
BRIDGE.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM PDT SATURDAY FOR MRY BAY.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 3 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR
MRY BAY-PIGEON PT TO PT PINOS 0-10 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM TO 3 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR PT ARENA
TO PT REYES 0-10 NM-PT ARENA TO PT REYES 10-60 NM-PT REYES
TO PIGEON PT 0-10 NM.
GALE WARNING FROM 3 PM SATURDAY TO 3 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR PT ARENA
TO PT REYES 0-10 NM-PT ARENA TO PT REYES 10-60 NM-PT PINOS
TO PT PIEDRAS BLANCAS 0-10 NM-PT REYES TO PIGEON PT 0-10 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR PT PINOS TO PT
PIEDRAS BLANCAS 0-10 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 PM SATURDAY TO 3 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR
PIGEON PT TO PT PINOS 10-60 NM.
SHORT TERM...MALARKEY
LONG TERM....MALARKEY
AVIATION...APR
MARINE...APR
VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO
FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK, X, AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBAYAREA
X.COM/NWSBAYAREA
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSBAYAREA
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page