420  
WTNT22 KNHC 091454  
TCMAT2  
 
HURRICANE LARRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122021  
1500 UTC THU SEP 09 2021  
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...  
 
NONE.  
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...  
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...  
* SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ST. SCHOTTS TO POUCH COVE  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...  
* BERMUDA  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...  
* SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND FROM LAMALINE TO WEST OF ST. SCHOTTS  
* SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND FROM NORTH OF POUCH COVE TO BONAVISTA  
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE  
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS  
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE  
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR  
DANGEROUS.  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE  
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE  
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.  
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE  
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 61.6W AT 09/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 14 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.  
64 KT....... 80NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.  
50 KT.......110NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.  
34 KT.......190NE 190SE 140SW 140NW.  
12 FT SEAS..400NE 320SE 270SW 270NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 61.6W AT 09/1500Z  
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 61.5W  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 34.5N 62.2W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.  
50 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.  
34 KT...190NE 190SE 140SW 140NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 39.0N 60.8W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.  
50 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 80NW.  
34 KT...190NE 190SE 150SW 130NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 44.8N 56.1W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
64 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.  
50 KT...110NE 120SE 90SW 70NW.  
34 KT...200NE 210SE 160SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 51.3N 49.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
64 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 30NW.  
50 KT...110NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.  
34 KT...200NE 230SE 210SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 57.0N 43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
50 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.  
34 KT...250NE 250SE 220SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 61.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 70NW.  
34 KT...320NE 270SE 250SW 200NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...ABSORBED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N 61.6W  
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 09/1800Z  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z  
 

 
FORECASTER PASCH  
 
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TPC Page Main Text Page