484  
WTNT22 KNHC 192034  
TCMAT2  
 
TROPICAL STORM ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172021  
2100 UTC SUN SEP 19 2021  
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 29.9W AT 19/2100Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.  
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 29.9W AT 19/2100Z  
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 29.4W  
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.9N 31.4W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.9N 33.3W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.0N 34.8W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.0N 36.0W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.5N 37.0W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.7N 38.0W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 26.7N 40.6W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 28.7N 41.2W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 29.9W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z  
 

 
FORECASTER HAGEN/BLAKE  
 
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TPC Page Main Text Page