534  
WTNT22 KNHC 210245  
TCMAT2  
 
TROPICAL STORM ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172021  
0300 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021  
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 35.4W AT 21/0300Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.  
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 0NW.  
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 35.4W AT 21/0300Z  
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 35.2W  
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.5N 36.5W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.2N 37.6W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.5N 38.7W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.8N 39.9W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.1N 40.7W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.3N 40.8W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 29.0N 38.2W  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 30.5N 33.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 35.4W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z  
 

 
FORECASTER BROWN  
 
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TPC Page Main Text Page