631  
WTNT22 KNHC 210836  
TCMAT2  
 
TROPICAL STORM ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172021  
0900 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021  
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 36.4W AT 21/0900Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 17 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.  
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 0NW.  
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 36.4W AT 21/0900Z  
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 36.2W  
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.4N 37.2W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.8N 38.3W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.0N 39.5W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.4N 40.6W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.7N 41.0W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 29.0N 40.4W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 30.7N 36.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 32.8N 31.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 36.4W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z  
 

 
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  
 
 
 
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