729  
WTNT22 KNHC 212035  
TCMAT2  
 
TROPICAL STORM ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172021  
2100 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021  
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 37.7W AT 21/2100Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.  
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.  
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 37.7W AT 21/2100Z  
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 37.4W  
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.5N 38.6W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.8N 39.8W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.2N 40.8W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.5N 41.3W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 28.8N 40.7W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 29.8N 38.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 31.5N 33.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 37.7W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z  
 

 
FORECASTER BLAKE  
 
 
 
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