971  
WTNT22 KNHC 220238  
TCMAT2  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172021  
0300 UTC WED SEP 22 2021  
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 37.9W AT 22/0300Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.  
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 37.9W AT 22/0300Z  
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 37.7W  
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.9N 38.9W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N 40.1W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.3N 41.0W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.6N 41.2W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 28.9N 40.0W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.7N 37.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 31.3N 32.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 37.9W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z  
 

 
FORECASTER BROWN  
 
 
 
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