403  
WTNT22 KNHC 221437  
TCMAT2  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172021  
1500 UTC WED SEP 22 2021  
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 39.2W AT 22/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.  
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 39.2W AT 22/1500Z  
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 38.8W  
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.6N 40.1W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.1N 41.1W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.6N 41.1W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 28.8N 39.9W  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.4N 37.8W  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 29.9N 34.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 31.5N 30.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N 39.2W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z  
 

 
FORECASTER BEVEN  
 
 
 
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