577  
WTNT22 KNHC 230238  
TCMAT2  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172021  
0300 UTC THU SEP 23 2021  
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 40.9W AT 23/0300Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 40.9W AT 23/0300Z  
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 40.6W  
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.7N 41.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.2N 42.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 28.4N 41.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.0N 39.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 29.5N 36.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 30.2N 33.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 40.9W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z  
 

 
FORECASTER BROWN  
 
 
 
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