820  
WTPZ21 KNHC 080831  
TCMEP1  
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162023  
0900 UTC SUN OCT 08 2023  
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO  
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).  
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE  
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).  
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 100.7W AT 08/0900Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 100.7W AT 08/0900Z  
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 100.5W  
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 15.3N 101.2W...TROPICAL CYCLONE  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.1N 101.5W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.9N 101.6W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.9N 101.6W...INLAND  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 19.0N 101.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 100.7W  
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 08/1200Z  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z  
 

 
FORECASTER BLAKE  
 
 
 
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