899  
WTPZ21 KNHC 081438  
TCMEP1  
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162023  
1500 UTC SUN OCT 08 2023  
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO  
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).  
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE  
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).  
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 101.1W AT 08/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 101.1W AT 08/1500Z  
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 100.7W  
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 15.5N 101.2W...TROPICAL CYCLONE  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.2N 101.3W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.1N 101.4W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.0N 101.1W...INLAND  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 101.1W  
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 08/1800Z  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z  
 

 
FORECASTER PAPIN  
 
 
 
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