716  
FOPZ11 KNHC 082039  
PWSEP1  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162023  
2100 UTC SUN OCT 08 2023  
 
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED  
NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
L CARDENAS 34 1 20(21) 6(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)  
L CARDENAS 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
ZIHUATANEJO 34 2 32(34) 6(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)  
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
ZIHUATANEJO 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)  
 
ACAPULCO 34 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 

 
FORECASTER PAPIN  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TPC Page Main Text Page