686
WTPZ31 KNHC 090244
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MAX ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162023
1000 PM CDT SUN OCT 08 2023
..DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM MAX
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST
BY MONDAY MORNING...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 101.9W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE IN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MAX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 101.9 WEST. MAX IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH (9 KM/H), AND A
GRADUAL NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TURN IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT AND DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. MAX IS FORECAST TO REACH THE
COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATE MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL,
AND RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER THE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND ON
TUESDAY.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES (95 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB (29.56 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR MAX CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ41 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDEP1.SHTML
RAINFALL: MAX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES WITH LOCAL MAXIMA OF 12 INCHES THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS THE
STATES OF GUERRERO, MICHOACAN AND THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF WESTERN
OAXACA IN SOUTHWEST MEXICO. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE FLASH
AND URBAN FLOODING, ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF
HIGHER TERRAIN NEAR THE COAST.
WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON MONDAY, MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS
DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 AM CDT.
FORECASTER HOGSETT/BROWN
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