382
WTPZ31 KNHC 092357
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MAX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162023
700 PM CDT MON OCT 09 2023
..MAX MOVING INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
MEXICO TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 101.2W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO LAZARO CARDENAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MAX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 101.2 WEST. MAX HAS
BEEN MOVING DUE NORTH OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS, BUT IT IS
EXPECTED TO RESUME A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR
7 MPH (11 KM/H). THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL
DISSIPATION AS THE CYCLONE MOVES FURTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHERN
MEXICO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS MAX
MOVES FARTHER INLAND, WITH THE STORM EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER
MEXICO LATE TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES (95 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB (29.62 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR MAX CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ41 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDEP1.SHTML
RAINFALL: MAX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES WITH LOCAL MAXIMA OF 12 INCHES THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS THE
STATES OF GUERRERO AND MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE
FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING, ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF
HIGHER TERRAIN NEAR THE COAST.
WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN THE WARNING AREA
AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY MAX WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
MEXICO FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM CDT.
FORECASTER HOGSETT/BROWN
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