553
WTPZ31 KNHC 100243
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAX ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162023
1000 PM CDT MON OCT 09 2023
...MAX NOW A DEPRESSION AND MOVING WELL INLAND OVER SOUTHERN
MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING LIKELY ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
MEXICO TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 100.9W
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM ENE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 100.9 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH (11
KM/H), AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS MAX MOVES FARTHER
INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. MAX IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES
FARTHER INLAND, WITH THE DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER
MEXICO LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB (29.59 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR MAX CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP1 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ41 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDEP1.SHTML
RAINFALL: MAX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES WITH LOCAL MAXIMA OF 12 INCHES THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS THE
STATES OF GUERRERO AND MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE
FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING, ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF
HIGHER TERRAIN NEAR THE COAST.
WIND: PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY MAX WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
MEXICO FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 AM CDT.
FORECASTER HOGSETT/BROWN
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