437
WTPZ22 KNHC 191451
TCMEP2
HURRICANE NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172023
1500 UTC THU OCT 19 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 107.6W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 946 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE 80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 107.6W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 107.5W
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.1N 107.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.3N 108.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.5N 108.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.9N 109.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.0N 109.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.6N 109.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 24.2N 108.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 24.8N 107.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 107.6W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 19/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
FORECASTER REINHART
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