919
WTNT25 KNHC 200855
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202023
0900 UTC FRI OCT 20 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 58.3W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE 0SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE 90SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 58.3W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 57.9W
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 14.7N 59.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 20SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.9N 60.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.3N 61.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 25SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.8N 62.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 20.3N 63.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.7N 63.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 24.3N 61.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 27.8N 58.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 58.3W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 20/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
FORECASTER BERG
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