131
WTPZ24 KNHC 282055
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192023
2100 UTC SAT OCT 28 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 92.7W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 92.7W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 92.7W
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 10.7N 92.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 0SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 10.9N 92.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 11.1N 92.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 11.6N 91.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 12.3N 90.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 13.0N 89.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 11.3N 90.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 9.5N 94.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.5N 92.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
FORECASTER BLAKE
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