511  
WTPZ24 KNHC 290241  
TCMEP4  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192023  
0300 UTC SUN OCT 29 2023  
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO  
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).  
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE  
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 92.8W AT 29/0300Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 92.8W AT 29/0300Z  
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 92.8W  
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 10.8N 92.7W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 20NE 0SE 40SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 11.2N 92.5W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 40SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 11.5N 92.0W  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
50 KT... 0NE 10SE 10SW 0NW.  
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 12.1N 91.0W  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 10NW.  
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 12.8N 90.1W  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 10NW.  
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 12.9N 89.4W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 10NW.  
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 10.5N 91.5W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 9.0N 95.0W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 92.8W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z  
 

 
FORECASTER REINHART  
 
 
 
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