906  
WTPZ24 KNHC 300239  
TCMEP4  
 
TROPICAL STORM PILAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192023  
0300 UTC MON OCT 30 2023  
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO  
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).  
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE  
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 92.0W AT 30/0300Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 4 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.  
34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 30SW 30NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 92.0W AT 30/0300Z  
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 92.3W  
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 11.2N 91.3W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 11.6N 90.2W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.  
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 12.0N 89.4W  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 12.3N 88.9W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 12.0N 88.9W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 11.2N 89.7W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 9.9N 93.0W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 9.0N 97.5W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 92.0W  
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 30/0600Z  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z  
 

 
FORECASTER PAPIN  
 
 
 
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