494
FOPZ14 KNHC 300242
PWSEP4
TROPICAL STORM PILAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192023
0300 UTC MON OCT 30 2023
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PILAR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 95W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7)
P SAN JOSE 34 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
10N 90W 34 2 14(16) 6(22) 2(24) 4(28) 2(30) X(30)
10N 90W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11)
PUERTO CUTUCO 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 9(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23)
PUERTO CUTUCO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AMAPALA 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 9(18) 4(22) X(22) X(22)
AMAPALA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHOLUTECA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CABO BLANCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FORECASTER PAPIN
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