466
FOPZ14 KNHC 311444
PWSEP4
TROPICAL STORM PILAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192023
1500 UTC TUE OCT 31 2023
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PILAR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 11(21)
10N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
10N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 14(26) X(26)
10N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)
10N 95W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 20(26) X(26) X(26)
10N 95W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
10N 95W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
P SAN JOSE 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
10N 90W 34 3 4( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
PUERTO CUTUCO 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AMAPALA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12)
10N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10)
FORECASTER BROWN
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