066
FOPZ14 KNHC 312034
PWSEP4
TROPICAL STORM PILAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192023
2100 UTC TUE OCT 31 2023
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PILAR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 6(23)
10N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
10N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 4(29) X(29)
10N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
10N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
10N 95W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 10(32) X(32) X(32)
10N 95W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
10N 95W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
P SAN JOSE 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
10N 90W 34 3 7(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16)
CLIPPERTON IS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
10N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12)
FORECASTER KELLY
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