083
FOPZ14 KNHC 010838
PWSEP4
TROPICAL STORM PILAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192023
0900 UTC WED NOV 01 2023
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PILAR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) X(18)
10N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
10N 100W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 21(27) X(27) X(27)
10N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
10N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
10N 95W 34 X 1( 1) 18(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
10N 95W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
P SAN JOSE 34 6 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
10N 90W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 5(14)
10N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13)
FORECASTER REINHART
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