289  
FOPZ14 KNHC 020232  
PWSEP4  
 
TROPICAL STORM PILAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192023  
0300 UTC THU NOV 02 2023  
 
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PILAR WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
10N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 9(22) X(22) X(22)  
10N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
10N 100W 34 X 3( 3) 34(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)  
10N 100W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)  
 
10N 95W 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 3(17) X(17)  
 
10N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) X(14)  
 
10N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)  
 

 
FORECASTER PASCH  
 
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