573
WTPZ24 KNHC 021436
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM PILAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192023
1500 UTC THU NOV 02 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 95.2W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 95.2W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 94.6W
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 11.2N 97.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 10.5N 100.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 10.1N 104.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 10.2N 106.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 10SE 10SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 10.5N 109.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 10SE 10SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 10.9N 111.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 10SE 10SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 11.9N 114.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 13.1N 117.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 95.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
FORECASTER KELLY
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