363
WTPZ24 KNHC 031446
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM PILAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192023
1500 UTC FRI NOV 03 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 103.0W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 18 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 103.0W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 102.2W
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 9.9N 105.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 9.8N 108.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 10.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 10SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 10.4N 113.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 11.1N 115.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 11.8N 116.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 13.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 14.9N 121.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.2N 103.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
FORECASTER KELLY
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