971  
WTPZ24 KNHC 040233  
TCMEP4  
 
TROPICAL STORM PILAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192023  
0300 UTC SAT NOV 04 2023  
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO  
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).  
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE  
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 106.2W AT 04/0300Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 15 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.  
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.  
12 FT SEAS..120NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 106.2W AT 04/0300Z  
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 105.5W  
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 9.7N 108.3W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 9.9N 111.0W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 10.5N 113.2W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 11.1N 114.9W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 11.8N 116.5W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.4N 117.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 14.0N 119.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.9N 106.2W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z  
 

 
FORECASTER PAPIN  
 
 
 
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