508
WTPZ25 KNHC 240849
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102024
0900 UTC TUE SEP 24 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 100.0W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 20SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 10NE 90SE 60SW 10NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 100.0W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 99.3W
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.4N 100.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.0N 101.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.7N 100.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.9N 100.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.4N 100.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.1N 101.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 100.0W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 24/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
FORECASTER PAPIN
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