161
WTNT21 KNHC 200843
TCMAT1
HURRICANE OSCAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024
0900 UTC SUN OCT 20 2024
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 73.1W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 5NE 5SE 0SW 5NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 73.1W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 72.7W
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.6N 74.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 5NE 5SE 0SW 5NW.
50 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.4N 75.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.8N 76.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.7N 76.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.7N 75.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 23.8N 74.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 73.1W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 20/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
FORECASTER BERG
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