672  
FONT11 KNHC 210245  
PWSAT1  
 
TROPICAL STORM OSCAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024  
0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2024  
 
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OSCAR WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14)  
 
MAYAGUANA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 10(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)  
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 45 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)  
 

 
FORECASTER REINHART  
 
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