393
WTPZ22 KNHC 220833
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024
0900 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 104.8W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 104.8W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 104.0W
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 14.3N 107.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.4N 110.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.3N 113.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.2N 117.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.3N 120.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.8N 123.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 17.1N 127.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 110NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 20.3N 131.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 60SW 100NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 104.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
FORECASTER HAGEN
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