360
WTNT31 KNHC 221455
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OSCAR ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024
1100 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2024
..OSCAR IS BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.9N 74.1W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ESE OF LONG ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OSCAR WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 74.1 WEST. OSCAR IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH (19 KM/H), AND A FASTER
NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF OSCAR WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM
THE BAHAMAS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
OSCAR COULD DISSIPATE LATER TODAY, OR MERGE WITH AN EXTRATROPICAL
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES (165 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB (29.74 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR OSCAR CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT41 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDAT1.SHTML
WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN
PARTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS TODAY.
RAINFALL: ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS, ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH TODAY. THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH OSCAR,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT1.SHTML?RAINQPF.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
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