571
WTPZ22 KNHC 231441
TCMEP2
HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024
1500 UTC WED OCT 23 2024
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 113.9W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 17 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 113.9W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.0W
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.2N 116.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.1N 119.7W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.3N 122.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.1N 125.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.5N 127.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.0N 129.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 70SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 20.5N 132.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 21.0N 136.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 113.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
FORECASTER REINHART
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