025  
FOPZ12 KNHC 240231  
PWSEP2  
 
HURRICANE KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024  
0300 UTC THU OCT 24 2024  
 
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
135 KTS...155 MPH...250 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
15N 120W 34 78 16(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)  
15N 120W 50 16 23(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)  
15N 120W 64 3 10(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)  
 
15N 125W 34 X 4( 4) 81(85) 5(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)  
15N 125W 50 X X( X) 54(54) 7(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)  
15N 125W 64 X X( X) 31(31) 6(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38)  
 
20N 125W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 1(12) X(12)  
 
15N 130W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10)  
 
20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 80(85) 1(86) X(86)  
20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 54(54) 1(55) X(55)  
20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) X(29) X(29)  
 
25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9)  
 
20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 5(12)  
 
25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)  
 
 
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  
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