759  
WTPZ22 KNHC 241431  
TCMEP2  
 
HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024  
1500 UTC THU OCT 24 2024  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 120.3W AT 24/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 933 MB  
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.  
64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.  
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 105SW 150NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 120.3W AT 24/1500Z  
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 119.7W  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.4N 122.3W  
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.3N 124.8W  
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.8N 126.9W  
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.6N 128.7W  
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.6N 130.0W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT...110NE 70SE 70SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 22.3N 131.2W...POST-TROPICAL  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 50SW 90NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 21.5N 133.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 120.3W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z  
 

 
FORECASTER KELLY/B.ADAMS  
 
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TPC Page Main Text Page