038
WTPZ22 KNHC 242031
TCMEP2
HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024
2100 UTC THU OCT 24 2024
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 121.6W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 926 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 121.6W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 121.0W
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.8N 123.4W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.1N 125.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.7N 127.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.8N 129.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 70SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.7N 130.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 50SE 70SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 22.2N 131.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 21.4N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 121.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
FORECASTER KELLY/B. ADAMS
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