314  
FOPZ12 KNHC 250834  
PWSEP2  
 
HURRICANE KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024  
0900 UTC FRI OCT 25 2024  
 
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
15N 125W 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)  
15N 125W 50 22 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)  
15N 125W 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)  
 
20N 125W 34 1 5( 6) 4(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)  
 
15N 130W 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
20N 130W 34 X 3( 3) 55(58) 9(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)  
20N 130W 50 X X( X) 14(14) 8(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)  
20N 130W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)  
 
25N 130W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) X(14) X(14)  
 
 
FORECASTER BEVEN  
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